DEAR FRIENDS WITH OPEN MINDS:
So many people are divided into two camps relating to global warming and climate change. There are those like David Wells-Wallace who see the worst-case scenarios and say these events will occur in the next 100 years. He's wrong of course. These events will occur but not for another 500 to 1000 years. See The Cli-Fi Report for details
And then there are those naive people who still cling to hope that technology or God or human resourcefulness will save us from the coming Climapocalypse and these people are also wrong, though bless 'em for their optimism and hopefulness. Remember the late great Walter Benjamin once said "Hope if for the hopeless."
And there's experts like Dr Charles Geisler, an emeritus development sociologist at Cornell University, who has predicted that 2 billion people may be displaced by rising sea levels by the year 2100.
He is SO wrong! Not gonna happen for another 500 to 1000 years. SEE BELOW.
Geisler says coastal peoples will press inland, while farmland off the coasts is likely to be increasingly compromised by drought and desertification. He concludes: “Bottom line: Far more people are going to be living on far less land, and land that is not as fertile and habitable and sustainable as the low-elevation coastal zone... And it’s coming at us faster than we thought.”
Kids now in just 5 and 8 years old will be in their 80s .... when Geisler's predictions will not come to pass. These kids today can’t, of course, know about any of these possible catastrophes, but we adults already sense that they’re picking up on something subtly fragile and vulnerable about our relatively settled lives together. How do we respond to them? What do we as a parent do in the face of such a potentially bleak future? How and when do we break news like that? Are we supposed to help our children and grandchildren cultivate a taste for crickets instead of hamburger or start building a solar powered hydroponic farm in our basement? Worse yet, whatever we could imagine suggesting wouldn’t be enough. It wouldn’t protect them. It wouldn’t even prepare them for such a future.
Well, I've been thinking about all thsi for the past ten years, every since the IPCC report came out. And those interviews with James Lovelock. And working on my Cli-Fi Report website as a platform for novelists and movie producers to create cli-fi novels and movies warning us of what is coming down the road. Most people are not listening to me, and I don't blame. It just doesn't compute for most people today in West or the East or in Africa or anyway on Earth. But there are those who do "get it" and I am one of those. Please don't accept me at my words below. Do your own research and come up with your own plans and strategies. But this is how I see the future coming at us and I say this with all due respect for my friends who are still hopeful and want to be optimists. They are wrong. THIS is what is going to happen but I am giving you a generous timeline so don't panic and don't fret, There is still time to prepare our descendants 30 to 60 generatiosn down the road for the End. How to prepare for their End. Our End? It's not going to happen in our lifetime so stop worrying. Write a good cli-fi novel instead about all this.
DAN BLOOM'S GENEROUS TIMELINE:
2018 - 2100 ---- (nothing much changes. Basically the same as today, no big changes)
2100 to 2150 -- (nothing much changes. Basically the same as today, no big changes)
2150 to 2200 -- (more heat waves, floods, droughts, but no major sea level rises...)
2200 to 2300 -- (more heatwaves, floods, droughts, but no mjaor sea level rises...)
2300 - 2500 -- (OKAY, things now grow tragic, yes and BILLIONS die in massive human die-offs worldwide, with some 25 billion people fated to die unspeakable, unfathomable, tragic deaths)
2500 - 3000 A.D. -- (Humanity dies off, remnants of the human race are left behind in some rare pockets of survival, perhaps a total of 10,000 humans are left on Earth by the year 3000 A.D.)
3000 - 5000 A.D. -- END OF HUMAN LIFE ON EARTH.....
So stop complaining. Quitcherbellyaching. We are done for as a species, but not yet, not now, and not any time soon. But yes, the End will come within the next 30 to 60 generations of man (WOMAN) and then it will be all over. What can we do? PREPARE PREPARE PREPARE: mentally, spiritually, psychogically, stoicly, bravely, existentially. This is the truth. All else is wishful "sell those magazines and books" wishful thinking.
My advice to novelists? Write that cli-fi novel now. Soon. There is still time to warn the future.
A professor on the USA East Coast replies to me by email:
While I'm not as apocalyptic as Wallace-Wells or Geisler, I think you're way too optimistic that "nothing major" happens until after 2300, especially regarding sea level.
I'd say three feet is already locked in for 2100 and six feet is becoming increasingly likely, But perhaps you don't consider that "major."
MY ANSWER TO HIM:
Hi Michael. Thanks for reax.
Well, I do consider that major yes, but I don't see it happening until 2300, 2500. I'm trying to get people to see the long view of things. Still, I'm still into doom and gloom, just a longer view than the current popular media gives us. I'm not saying ''do nothing.'' I still hope people will act on climate issues now.
On the other hand, could be 80 more years when the shit hits the fan. Could be. I'm of two minds.
PS. Amy Brady is starting a monthly cli-fi newsletter to celebrate her one year anniversary of the cli-fi ''burning worlds'' column. Want details? I can send . free sign up.